2010 Mt Washington Ranking

In a typical year on 23 men run under 1:15 and 10 women run under 1:30. The highest totals for each are from 2008 (the last year the race was the US championship) when 53 men broke 1:15 and 25 women broke 1:30.

I’m predicting 85 men and 47 women to break 1:15 and 1:30 respectively. If this happens it will be a huge record by each group.

Predicting results is a tricky thing, especially in a year like this with it not only being the 50th and the US championship but also being the ONLY qualifier for the US team. There has to be a record number of people running who have great road times but are untested on the mountain. These people are the bane of anyone trying to handicap the race. A 2:14 marathon might well run under an hour, then again he might step off the course at 2 miles. Nothing indicates success on the Mountain better than previous results on the Mountain. Of course all of this also assumes “normal” weather on race day (whatever that might mean).

So here are my rankings based on previous results, current form (if I could figure that out), and plain and simple educated guesses. To anyone who doesn’t like their rank, I say “make up your own rankings”.

Rank	First	Last	Prediction	Age	City	St
1	Joseph	Gray	sub 102	26	Lakewood	WA
2	Rickey	Gates	sub 102	29	woody creek	CO
3	Eric	Blake	sub 102	31	New Britain	CT
4	Jeffrey	Eggleston	sub 102	25	Greece	NY
5	Max	King	sub 102	30	Bend	OR
6	Zachary	Freudenburg	sub 105	31	st louis	MO
7	Matthew	Byrne	sub 105	35	Scranton	PA
8	Kevin	Tilton	sub 105	28	N conway	NH
9	Luke	Watson	sub 105	29	State College	PA
10	Justin	Fyffe	sub 105	30	E Dumemrston	VT
11	Jim	Johnson	sub 105	33	Salem	NH
12	Tommy	Manning	sub 110	34	colorado springs	CO
13	Joel	Bourgeois	sub 110	39	Grand-digue	NB
14	Jason	Bryant	sub 110	37	Elkin	NC
15	Matt	Russell	sub 110	27	Wells	ME
16	Francis	Burdett	sub 110	45	Worcester	MA
17	Daniel	Princic	sub 110	30	Reading	MA
18	Alex	Nichols	sub 110	25	Colorado Springs	CO
19	Andy	Ames	sub 110	47	Boulder	CO
20	Eric	Morse	sub 110	45	Berlin	VT
21	Daniel	Hocking	sub 110	30	Dover	NH
22	Shiloh	Mielke	sub 110	30	Weaverville	NC
23	Timmy	Parr	sub 110	28	Gunnison	CO
24	Scott	Rowe	sub 110	35	Dover	NH
25	John	Tribbia	sub 110	28	Boulder	CO
26	Ben	Nephew	sub 110	34	Mansfield	MA
27	Sean	Livingston	sub 110	41	Barrington	RI
28	Brendon	Mahoney	sub 110	30	San Francisco	CA
29	Andy	McCarron	sub 110	27	Keene	NH
30	Matthew	Clark	sub 110	27	Amherst	MA
31	Justin	Freeman	sub 110	33	New Hamton	NH
32	Chris	Lundstrom	sub 110	34	Minneapolis	MN
33	Chris	Siemers	sub 110	29	Arvada	CO
34	Michael	Smith	sub 110	30	Flagstaff	AZ
35	Richard	Bolt	sub 110	39	Portland	OR
36	Jared	Scott	sub 110	27	Flagstaff	AZ
37	Matthew	Haringa	sub 115	26	Brighton	MA
38	Kristopher	Houghton	sub 110	29	Albuquerque	NM
39	Ryan	Hafer	sub 110	24	colorado springs	CO
40	Tyler	McCandless	sub 110	23	State Coll	PA
41	Joseph	Navas	sub 110	39	N Eastham	MA
42	Mike	Quintal	sub 110	32	N Andover	MA
43	David	Bedoya	sub 115	33	Somerville	MA
44	Peter	Maksimow	sub 115	31	manitou springs	CO
45	Patric	Ard	sub 115	26	Raymond	NH
46	Andrew	Wommack	sub 115	26	jamaica plain	MA
47	Patrick	Rich	sub 115	33	S hamilton	MA
48	Ryan	Aschbrenner	sub 115	32	Waltham	MA
49	Dan	Verrington	sub 115	47	Bradford	MA
50	Henry	Scollard	sub 115	46	Cambridge	MA
51	Tim	Van Orden	sub 115	42	Bennington	VT
52	Scott	Simmons	sub 115	38	Durango	CO
53	Fergus	Cullen	sub 115	38	Dover	NH
54	David	Herr	sub 115	45	Canaan	VT
55	James	Pawlicki	sub 115	35	Beverly	MA
56	Edward	Breen	sub 115	28	Medford	MA
57	David	Quintal	sub 115	47	Salem	NH
58	Nicolas	Menzies	sub 115	31	Jamaica Plain	MA
59	Kevin	Tuck	sub 115	54	salt lake city	UT
60	Michael	Woodman	sub 115	44	Timonium	MD
61	Chad	Carr	sub 115	34	Cambridge	MA
62	Tomoaki	Uchiki	sub 115	36	jamaica plain	MA
63	Malcolm	Campbell	sub 115	39	Marietta	GA
64	Jordan	Zwick	sub 115	24	Rochester	NY
65	Rich	Marion	sub 115	48	Templeton	MA
66	Tristan	Colangelo	sub 115	28	Boston	MA
67	Kris	Freeman	sub 115	29	Thornton	NH
68	Ernest	Brake	sub 115	48	N Sutton	NH
69	Matt	Schadow	sub 115	31	Minnetonka	MN
70	Dewey	Peacock	sub 115	30	Bozeman	MT
71	Thomas	Brown	sub 115	24	Boston	MA
72	Todd	Callaghan	sub 115	40	Somerville	MA
73	Martin	Tighe	sub 115	52	Providence	RI
74	Robert	Espinosa	sub 115	26	Boston	MA
75	Michael	Guarascio	sub 115	26	boston	MA
76	Paul	Petersen	sub 115	18	Broomfield	CO
77	Tim	Mahoney	sub 115	30	Holyoke	MA
78	Chris	Mahoney	sub 115	32	Haverhill	MA
79	Rod	Viens	sub 115	42	Grantham	NH
80	Robert	Jackman	sub 115	28	Warwick	RI
81	Chris	Lowe	sub 115	28	Allston	MA
82	Mark	Rybinski	sub 115	55	Manlius	NY